Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Kevin Hayes
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +23.9% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Hayes 42.7% (+23.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Pageau
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
31.9% (91)
+27.2%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
64.3% (14)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
0.0% (1)
+60.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +60.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hayes
Home
57.8% (377)
30.6% (49)
Away
61.0% (559)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Pageau
Hayes
P1
54.1%
22.9%
P2
62.1%
40.0%
P3
61.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%