Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Kevin Hayes
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Hayes 49.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.7%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Pageau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pageau
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Pageau
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Pageau
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
48.5% (557)
+10.3%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
53.3% (107)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
58.3% (12)
-9.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hayes
Home
59.0% (595)
50.8% (313)
Away
55.7% (661)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Pageau
Hayes
P1
58.9%
52.3%
P2
57.9%
47.7%
P3
55.6%
48.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.2%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |