Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Kevin Hayes
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.5%). Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 51.1% vs Hayes 50.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 62.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 71.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Pageau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pageau
Hayes
Last 6: Pageau 1-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Pageau
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Pageau
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Pageau
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (896)
50.4% (850)
+1.2%
Power Play
49.2% (63)
56.4% (39)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (174)
50.2% (223)
-0.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pageau is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Pageau shoots right. Hayes is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hayes
Home
51.2% (559)
50.0% (586)
Away
51.2% (574)
51.1% (526)
By Period
Pageau
Hayes
P1
50.4%
52.3%
P2
52.4%
52.3%
P3
51.0%
47.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
51.2%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |