Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Kevin Hayes
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.9% vs Hayes 49.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 63.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Pageau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Pageau
Hayes
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
3
Pageau
Hayes
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
5
Pageau
Hayes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (674)
48.7% (394)
+9.6%
Power Play
57.1% (77)
61.2% (49)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (82)
34.3% (35)
+8.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pageau is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Pageau shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hayes
Home
57.4% (439)
50.6% (237)
Away
55.8% (394)
47.3% (241)
By Period
Pageau
Hayes
P1
54.0%
43.9%
P2
55.0%
47.3%
P3
60.8%
55.9%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |