Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matt Duchene
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Duchene 52.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Pageau
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pageau
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
46.9% (162)
+8.9%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
73.2% (56)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
100.0% (2)
-48.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +48.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Pageau
Duchene
Home
57.1% (674)
58.4% (125)
Away
53.5% (678)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Pageau
Duchene
P1
56.9%
56.9%
P2
54.5%
52.5%
P3
54.7%
51.9%
OT
52.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |