Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matt Duchene
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Duchene 52.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Pageau
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Pageau
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Pageau
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
53.9% (193)
+4.9%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
49.2% (65)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
100.0% (1)
-51.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Pageau
Duchene
Home
59.0% (595)
54.9% (113)
Away
55.7% (661)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Pageau
Duchene
P1
58.9%
54.9%
P2
57.9%
52.7%
P3
55.6%
51.9%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |