Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matt Duchene
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Duchene 51.6% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 58.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Pageau
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
51.2% (324)
+7.9%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
60.4% (53)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
16.7% (6)
+43.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Pageau
Duchene
Home
57.8% (377)
51.6% (182)
Away
61.0% (559)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Pageau
Duchene
P1
54.1%
49.6%
P2
62.1%
56.2%
P3
61.8%
48.6%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%