Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Matt Duchene
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Duchene 52.1% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 63.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 73.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Pageau
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pageau
Duchene
Last 5: Pageau 3-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
53.0% (723)
+6.6%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
49.5% (101)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
43.8% (16)
+12.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Pageau
Duchene
Home
59.3% (506)
54.9% (408)
Away
60.0% (482)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Pageau
Duchene
P1
56.8%
52.5%
P2
64.4%
51.7%
P3
56.9%
53.6%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |