Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nick Paul
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Paul 52.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 28-17 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 64.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 75.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Pageau
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
17
(45 meetings)
28
17
Pageau
Paul
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
13
7
Pageau
Paul
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
10
3
Pageau
Paul
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
5
7
Pageau
Paul
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
52.5% (3,796)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
56.5% (480)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
46.7% (574)
+2.9%
On even strength, Pageau has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Pageau
Paul
Home
56.3% (6,214)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Pageau
Paul
P1
54.6%
53.9%
P2
56.3%
51.0%
P3
53.5%
52.0%
OT
54.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nick Paul |