Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sebastian Aho
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Aho 52.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 54.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 80.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Pageau
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pageau
Aho
Last 6: Pageau 4-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Pageau
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
51.6% (819)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
58.4% (173)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
46.3% (67)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Pageau
Aho
Home
57.1% (674)
53.9% (568)
Away
53.5% (678)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Pageau
Aho
P1
56.9%
55.4%
P2
54.5%
51.2%
P3
54.7%
50.9%
OT
52.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.3%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |