Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sebastian Aho
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Aho 54.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 53.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 73.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Pageau
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Pageau
Aho
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Pageau
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
2
Pageau
Aho
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
54.5% (870)
+5.1%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
62.4% (266)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
37.1% (62)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Pageau
Aho
Home
59.3% (506)
53.9% (603)
Away
60.0% (482)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Pageau
Aho
P1
56.8%
54.1%
P2
64.4%
55.0%
P3
56.9%
57.4%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |