Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sebastian Aho

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 58.7% vs Aho 54.9% (+4.3%)
H2H factor Pageau leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone Aho 53.2%
Defensive zone Pageau 87.7%
Neutral zone Pageau 73.1%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Pageau Aho
Head-to-Head Record
11 - 6 (17 meetings)
11
6
Pageau Aho
Last 10: Pageau 7-3 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Pageau Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
2
Pageau Aho
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau Aho
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
54.5% (870)
+5.1%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
62.4% (266)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
37.1% (62)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +19.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Aho shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Pageau
Aho
Home
59.3% (506)
53.9% (603)
Away
60.0% (482)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Pageau
Aho
P1
56.8%
54.1%
P2
64.4%
55.0%
P3
56.9%
57.4%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.1%
55.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%
57.5%
59.6%
Aho
42.0%
48.0%
55.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 30, 2025 3 07:23 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Mar 30, 2025 3 01:51 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 30, 2025 1 16:53 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 30, 2025 1 08:52 Neutral Sebastian Aho
Mar 30, 2025 1 05:52 Defensive Sebastian Aho
Mar 30, 2025 1 01:57 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Mar 30, 2025 1 01:30 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 25, 2025 2 01:05 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 17, 2024 3 01:33 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 17, 2024 2 19:03 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 17, 2024 2 05:28 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 17, 2024 2 01:48 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 17, 2024 1 14:33 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 17, 2024 1 08:39 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 7, 2024 3 17:35 Offensive Sebastian Aho
Dec 7, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 7, 2024 1 01:55 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau