Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sebastian Aho
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Aho 53.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 70.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 89.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 72.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Pageau
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Pageau
Aho
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
6
Pageau
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
0
Pageau
Aho
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
2
Pageau
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
51.2% (785)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
63.8% (213)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
57.9% (57)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Pageau
Aho
Home
57.0% (618)
54.9% (548)
Away
53.9% (607)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Pageau
Aho
P1
54.4%
52.8%
P2
61.0%
58.9%
P3
51.0%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | OT | 00:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |