Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tomas Hertl
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Hertl 52.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 57.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 71.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 63.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Pageau
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Pageau
Hertl
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
1
Pageau
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Pageau
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
51.6% (1,084)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
61.0% (246)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
44.1% (136)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hertl
Home
57.1% (674)
55.2% (696)
Away
53.5% (678)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Pageau
Hertl
P1
56.9%
55.4%
P2
54.5%
54.8%
P3
54.7%
48.9%
OT
52.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | OT | 02:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |