Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Tomas Hertl
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Hertl 54.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 80.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Pageau
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pageau
Hertl
Last 5: Pageau 2-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Pageau
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
54.1% (1,117)
+4.7%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
59.8% (296)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
34.4% (32)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Pageau
Hertl
Home
59.0% (595)
54.3% (709)
Away
55.7% (661)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Pageau
Hertl
P1
58.9%
51.6%
P2
57.9%
53.6%
P3
55.6%
58.6%
OT
44.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |