Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Eller 56.2% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 76.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kotkaniemi
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
57.2% (306)
-9.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
77.8% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
60.0% (35)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Eller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Home
46.8% (126)
52.7% (150)
Away
50.0% (74)
62.0% (200)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Eller
P1
50.0%
54.1%
P2
47.9%
59.6%
P3
45.6%
59.8%
Final 5 min
47.3%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%