Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Eller 49.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 71.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.5%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
51.1% (786)
-1.3%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
45.0% (80)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
43.6% (165)
+6.4%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Home
51.7% (203)
51.2% (510)
Away
50.4% (141)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Eller
P1
49.5%
50.7%
P2
50.4%
49.0%
P3
53.8%
48.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |