Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.2%). Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Eller 51.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 67.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 3-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
0
Kotkaniemi
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
52.8% (650)
+0.0%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
69.2% (13)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
45.5% (88)
-31.2%
On power play, Eller has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Home
52.5% (366)
52.6% (340)
Away
51.0% (343)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Eller
P1
53.8%
52.4%
P2
49.2%
54.1%
P3
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |