Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Lars Eller
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 77.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
8
1
Kotkaniemi
Eller
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
8
Kotkaniemi
Eller
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
6
Kotkaniemi
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
51.1% (10,296)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
52.8% (621)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
46.7% (1,751)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Home
49.7% (2,197)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Eller
P1
49.9%
51.2%
P2
50.4%
50.1%
P3
47.2%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |