Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Eller 55.7% (-9.0%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 75.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Kotkaniemi
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
56.5% (434)
-9.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
77.8% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
56.5% (46)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Home
46.5% (129)
53.1% (211)
Away
50.0% (84)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Eller
P1
51.3%
55.4%
P2
46.1%
58.1%
P3
45.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.2%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%