Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 46.2% vs Eller 49.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 75.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 79.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 3-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (706)
49.9% (821)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.6% (79)
52.7% (74)
-2.1%
On even strength, Eller has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Eller
Home
46.8% (438)
49.4% (559)
Away
44.4% (347)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Eller
P1
48.2%
50.1%
P2
48.9%
46.7%
P3
39.6%
49.9%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
45.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
45.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |