Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mark Kastelic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Kastelic 58.0% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 83.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 79.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
60.9% (281)
-13.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
83.3% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
56.5% (115)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kastelic is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Home
46.8% (126)
61.5% (208)
Away
50.0% (74)
58.2% (194)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
P1
50.0%
59.5%
P2
47.9%
59.7%
P3
45.6%
61.2%
Final 5 min
47.3%
66.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Kastelic
62.0%▬
62.0%
60.0%