Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mark Kastelic
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 54.6%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 56.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 2-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
53.4% (337)
-1.7%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
100.0% (4)
-51.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
75.0% (8)
-12.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Home
49.5% (313)
56.2% (162)
Away
53.5% (333)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
P1
54.5%
58.2%
P2
51.1%
58.8%
P3
49.0%
45.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |