Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mark Kastelic
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 86.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 78.5%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 56.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
58.0% (476)
-6.2%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
75.0% (8)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.9% (106)
-8.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Home
53.1% (339)
64.9% (265)
Away
49.9% (361)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
P1
48.3%
58.5%
P2
55.0%
55.6%
P3
50.4%
56.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |