Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 89.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 79.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 58.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Last 9: Kotkaniemi 4-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
57.0% (1,613)
-8.0%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
80.0% (25)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
53.6% (274)
-7.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Home
49.7% (2,197)
58.9% (895)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
P1
49.9%
58.5%
P2
50.4%
56.9%
P3
47.2%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |