Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mark Kastelic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-12.1%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 85.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 80.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 53.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
61.2% (340)
-13.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
83.3% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
56.0% (141)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Home
46.5% (129)
60.9% (233)
Away
50.0% (84)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
P1
51.3%
58.6%
P2
46.1%
58.7%
P3
45.9%
63.1%
Final 5 min
48.2%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%