Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Mark Kastelic
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 79.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 69.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
55.4% (345)
-2.6%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
50.0% (4)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
35.3% (17)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
Home
52.5% (366)
50.6% (162)
Away
51.0% (343)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kastelic
P1
53.8%
61.5%
P2
49.2%
52.8%
P3
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |