Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 50.8%). Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 92.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 59.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Kotkaniemi
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Kotkaniemi
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
0
Kotkaniemi
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
55.2% (625)
-3.4%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
57.1% (7)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
38.2% (220)
+4.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Dowd
Home
53.1% (339)
53.7% (445)
Away
49.9% (361)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Dowd
P1
48.3%
48.8%
P2
55.0%
49.3%
P3
50.4%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.4%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2022 | OT | 03:23 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |