Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Cates 40.4% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Cates leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 75.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 68.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 5-5 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
0
Kotkaniemi
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
4
Kotkaniemi
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
40.4% (841)
+11.4%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
42.4% (66)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
32.7% (147)
+10.2%
On even strength, Kotkaniemi has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Home
53.1% (339)
38.2% (566)
Away
49.9% (361)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Cates
P1
48.3%
40.5%
P2
55.0%
42.4%
P3
50.4%
35.3%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.4%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Noah Cates |