Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Cates 45.1% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.9%
Defensive zone
Cates 74.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
46.7% (912)
+6.1%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
33.9% (56)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
35.0% (137)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Home
52.5% (366)
46.1% (521)
Away
51.0% (343)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Cates
P1
53.8%
48.0%
P2
49.2%
42.3%
P3
52.6%
44.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |