Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Noah Cates
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Cates 43.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Cates leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 75.8%
Defensive zone
Cates 74.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 5-5 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
1
Kotkaniemi
Cates
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
2
Kotkaniemi
Cates
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
2
7
Kotkaniemi
Cates
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
44.1% (2,742)
+4.9%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
43.0% (242)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
34.9% (373)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Cates
Home
49.7% (2,197)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Cates
P1
49.9%
44.5%
P2
50.4%
43.5%
P3
47.2%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Noah Cates |