Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Tomas Hertl
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Hertl 54.5% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 66.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 4-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
54.1% (1,117)
-2.3%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
59.8% (296)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
34.4% (32)
+8.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Home
53.1% (339)
54.3% (709)
Away
49.9% (361)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
P1
48.3%
51.6%
P2
55.0%
53.6%
P3
50.4%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |