Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Tomas Hertl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Hertl 56.5% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
56.6% (622)
-8.9%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
58.5% (200)
+41.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
63.6% (22)
-30.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Home
46.8% (126)
59.6% (418)
Away
50.0% (74)
54.9% (426)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
P1
50.0%
50.4%
P2
47.9%
64.2%
P3
45.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.3%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Hertl
58.0%▬
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |