Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Hertl 54.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 55.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 73.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 65.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
5
1
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
53.8% (8,268)
-4.8%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
59.3% (1,975)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
46.3% (806)
-0.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Home
49.7% (2,197)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
P1
49.9%
53.6%
P2
50.4%
54.1%
P3
47.2%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |