Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Tomas Hertl
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Hertl 55.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 50.2%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 67.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 57.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
54.1% (717)
-1.3%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
61.9% (210)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
58.1% (31)
-43.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Home
52.5% (366)
58.1% (492)
Away
51.0% (343)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
P1
53.8%
57.1%
P2
49.2%
54.0%
P3
52.6%
56.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |