Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Tomas Hertl
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Hertl 56.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 55.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
57.0% (718)
-5.3%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
64.9% (188)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.2% (77)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
Home
49.5% (313)
59.2% (463)
Away
53.5% (333)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Hertl
P1
54.5%
56.3%
P2
51.1%
55.4%
P3
49.0%
60.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.5%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |