Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 92.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 76.9%
Neutral zone
Veleno 86.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Veleno
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Veleno
Kastelic
Last 7: Veleno 0-7 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Veleno
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Veleno
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Veleno
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
58.0% (476)
-15.1%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
75.0% (8)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
50.9% (106)
-17.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Veleno is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Veleno shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kastelic
Home
40.7% (327)
64.9% (265)
Away
44.4% (324)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Veleno
Kastelic
P1
43.2%
58.5%
P2
42.0%
55.6%
P3
42.4%
56.8%
Final 5 min
41.4%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |