Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 91.6%
Defensive zone
Veleno 79.2%
Neutral zone
Veleno 84.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Veleno
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Veleno
Kastelic
Last 10: Veleno 4-6 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Veleno
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
6
Veleno
Kastelic
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Veleno
Kastelic
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
57.0% (1,613)
-9.6%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
80.0% (25)
-29.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
53.6% (274)
-17.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Veleno shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kastelic
Home
45.3% (1,136)
58.9% (895)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Veleno
Kastelic
P1
48.0%
58.5%
P2
47.7%
56.9%
P3
45.9%
55.3%
OT
35.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.7%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |