Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 50.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 74.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 68.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Veleno
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Veleno
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
55.4% (345)
-8.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
35.3% (17)
-10.3%
On power play, Veleno has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Veleno is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Veleno shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kastelic
Home
47.8% (201)
50.6% (162)
Away
46.1% (228)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Veleno
Kastelic
P1
48.8%
61.5%
P2
47.9%
52.8%
P3
44.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |