Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 50.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 52.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 52.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Veleno
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Veleno
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Veleno
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
0
Veleno
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
53.4% (337)
-5.0%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
100.0% (4)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
75.0% (8)
-30.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Veleno is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Veleno shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Veleno
Kastelic
Home
48.8% (289)
56.2% (162)
Away
49.2% (333)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Veleno
Kastelic
P1
46.1%
58.2%
P2
50.9%
58.8%
P3
49.7%
45.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:54 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |