Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 46.6% vs Tavares 54.9% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 55.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 86.4%
Neutral zone
Ek 69.4%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Ek
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ek
Tavares
Last 6: Ek 1-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Ek
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Ek
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (647)
54.8% (861)
-7.4%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
57.5% (226)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
38.4% (138)
51.7% (29)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Ek is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Ek shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Ek
Tavares
Home
45.8% (432)
58.1% (559)
Away
46.6% (363)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Ek
Tavares
P1
47.0%
57.6%
P2
46.2%
55.5%
P3
45.1%
52.0%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
46.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |