Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 57.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 75.4%
Neutral zone
Ek 60.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Ek
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Ek
Tavares
Last 8: Ek 3-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Ek
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
57.5% (914)
-9.1%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
60.5% (309)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
59.1% (22)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Ek shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Ek
Tavares
Home
50.1% (689)
61.0% (661)
Away
48.6% (697)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Ek
Tavares
P1
49.5%
58.6%
P2
49.3%
57.8%
P3
48.9%
58.4%
OT
53.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |