Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Tavares 57.7% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 71.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 69.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 68.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Ek
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Ek
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Ek
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
57.7% (998)
-10.1%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
60.5% (271)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
56.4% (39)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Ek shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Ek
Tavares
Home
49.2% (331)
59.7% (610)
Away
45.7% (536)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Ek
Tavares
P1
38.7%
57.2%
P2
52.9%
58.5%
P3
48.8%
59.4%
OT
42.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |