Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Tavares 58.7% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 70.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 66.1%
Neutral zone
Ek 68.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Ek
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ek
Tavares
Last 6: Ek 1-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Ek
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Ek
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Ek
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
59.2% (1,035)
-11.5%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
60.0% (310)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
42.9% (7)
-1.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Ek
Tavares
Home
48.3% (801)
57.5% (668)
Away
51.1% (801)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Ek
Tavares
P1
50.2%
58.0%
P2
50.1%
60.1%
P3
49.3%
61.0%
OT
40.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |