Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Ek wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs Tavares 59.8% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 65.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 71.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 79.4%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Ek
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Ek
Tavares
Last 10: Ek 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
7
Ek
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
1
Ek
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (920)
60.9% (1,043)
-12.9%
Power Play
52.0% (302)
60.4% (278)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (243)
47.6% (21)
-7.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Ek is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Ek shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Ek
Tavares
Home
49.1% (740)
63.5% (684)
Away
46.1% (725)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Ek
Tavares
P1
47.6%
60.3%
P2
48.9%
60.4%
P3
45.4%
60.1%
OT
60.6%
92.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | OT | 04:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |