Joel Eriksson Ek vs Nathan MacKinnon

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Ek wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Ek 49.4% vs MacKinnon 50.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor MacKinnon leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 57.4%
Defensive zone Ek 71.1%
Neutral zone Ek 55.0%
Result Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Ek MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13 - 16 (29 meetings)
13
16
Ek MacKinnon
Last 10: Ek 4-6 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Ek MacKinnon
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
8
Ek MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
9
4
Ek MacKinnon
13 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Ek
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (671)
49.1% (825)
-1.4%
Power Play
54.9% (206)
65.4% (130)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (155)
34.5% (29)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +14.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ek is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Ek shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (716).
Home / Away
Ek
MacKinnon
Home
50.3% (565)
52.6% (489)
Away
48.2% (467)
49.1% (495)
By Period
Ek
MacKinnon
P1
47.4%
50.3%
P2
54.3%
52.6%
P3
46.2%
49.2%
OT
51.2%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
55.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%
49.0%
49.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%
54.5%
50.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 21, 2025 3 16:53 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2025 3 16:43 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2025 3 16:35 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2025 3 16:26 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2025 3 15:58 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Dec 21, 2025 2 06:01 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Dec 21, 2025 2 03:10 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Dec 21, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Dec 21, 2025 1 16:22 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2025 1 15:48 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Dec 21, 2025 1 13:19 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Dec 21, 2025 1 03:57 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2025 1 03:53 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2025 1 02:22 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 21, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 28, 2025 OT 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 28, 2025 3 15:26 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 28, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 28, 2025 2 18:03 Neutral Joel Eriksson Ek