Joel Eriksson Ek vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 64.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 59.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 69.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Ek
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Ek
MacKinnon
Last 10: Ek 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
6
Ek
MacKinnon
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
5
4
Ek
MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
10
4
Ek
MacKinnon
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
44.7% (1,053)
+3.7%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
36.8% (95)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
65.0% (20)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Ek shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Ek
MacKinnon
Home
50.1% (689)
49.4% (553)
Away
48.6% (697)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Ek
MacKinnon
P1
49.5%
45.3%
P2
49.3%
42.7%
P3
48.9%
45.1%
OT
53.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 11:38 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |