Joel Eriksson Ek vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 60.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 57.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 64.2%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Ek
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
17
(36 meetings)
19
17
Ek
MacKinnon
Last 10: Ek 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
6
4
Ek
MacKinnon
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
8
Ek
MacKinnon
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
10
5
Ek
MacKinnon
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
45.5% (1,190)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
56.4% (94)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
40.0% (30)
+1.5%
On power play, Ek has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ek is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (549).
Ek shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Ek
MacKinnon
Home
48.3% (801)
47.8% (670)
Away
51.1% (801)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Ek
MacKinnon
P1
50.2%
45.3%
P2
50.1%
48.5%
P3
49.3%
45.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |