Joel Eriksson Ek vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.7% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 64.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 61.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 64.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Ek
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Ek
MacKinnon
Last 10: Ek 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
Ek
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
4
1
Ek
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
5
2
Ek
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (920)
45.8% (755)
+2.2%
Power Play
52.0% (302)
48.3% (60)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (243)
27.6% (29)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ek is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (523).
Ek shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Ek
MacKinnon
Home
49.1% (740)
49.5% (396)
Away
46.1% (725)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Ek
MacKinnon
P1
47.6%
50.2%
P2
48.9%
43.8%
P3
45.4%
41.4%
OT
60.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |