Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 45.5% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 61.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 70.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Farabee
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (39)
44.7% (1,053)
-3.7%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
36.8% (95)
-36.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
65.0% (20)
-65.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Farabee is 26.7% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Farabee shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Farabee
MacKinnon
Home
34.8% (23)
49.4% (553)
Away
36.4% (22)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Farabee
MacKinnon
P1
31.8%
45.3%
P2
37.5%
42.7%
P3
42.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
46.0%▲
38.5%
35.6%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
44.4%