Joel Farabee vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Farabee wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 37.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Farabee 77.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 74.4%
Neutral zone
Farabee 59.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Farabee
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Farabee
MacKinnon
Last 8: Farabee 3-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Farabee
1
0
Farabee
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Farabee
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Farabee
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
32.8% (311)
46.1% (11,218)
-13.3%
Power Play
46.4% (56)
53.3% (1,412)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
42.8% (502)
-10.8%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Farabee is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Farabee shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Farabee
MacKinnon
Home
33.7% (178)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
35.5% (214)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Farabee
MacKinnon
P1
39.9%
47.4%
P2
32.8%
46.6%
P3
28.7%
46.1%
OT
0.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
35.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
34.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Joel Farabee |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Farabee |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Joel Farabee |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |